Question 2 (a)

Discounted payback period and profitability index

8 marks

Time to write
About 16 minutes

From an older CBCS paper

Question

Question 2 (a) · 8 marks
  1. Zenith Industries has under consideration an investment proposal: a project costing ₹6,00,000, which will have a life of 5 years and no salvage value at its end. The company pays tax at the rate of 40% and charges depreciation on the Straight line method; its cost of capital is 12%. Estimates of the profits before depreciation and tax (PBDT) are as follows:
YearPBDT
1₹ 1,62,000
2₹ 1,74,000
3₹ 1,80,000
4₹ 2,22,000
5₹ 2,64,000

Compute:

  1. The Discounted Payback Period

  2. The Profitability Index

Reworded from the university paper: names and figures differ, the task is the same. The original paper belongs to the University of Delhi. See DU's question bank.

Before you write

Read off the question and its marks

16 minfor 8 marks

Read from the question

  • Payback PeriodCash flows year by year in one table, then discount, then a one-line decision.

Write it in this order

  1. Read the data; note exactly what is asked 1 min
  2. 1 Cash flows after tax 3 marks 5 min
  3. 2 Discounted cash flows and discounted payback 3 marks 5 min
  4. 3 Profitability index and conclusion 2 marks 4 min
  5. Check: arithmetic, units (₹, %), final answer underlined 1 min

Short on time? End with step 3's one-line conclusion, whatever happens: never leave the figures without it.

Try it first. About 16 minutes for 8 marks. Write it out, then open the solution.

Solution

Hover or tap a marked figure, like 72,000, to see how it is made and where else it appears.

Cash flows after tax. Depreciation = 6,00,000 ÷ 5 = ₹1,20,000; cash flow = profit after tax + depreciation.

Picture itDiscounted payback period and profitability index

1Rekha puts her savings into a juice cart—the jar on the counter starts empty.

Payback periodThe number of years a project takes to recover its initial investment from its cash inflows.

2Orange by orange, the jar fills back towards what the cart cost her.

Why it is a measure of liquidityHow quickly the funds locked in a project come back and can be put to other uses.

3The jar full, the counting stops—the measure never looks at all the selling still to come.

Why it is not a measure of profitabilityIt ignores the cash inflows after the payback period, however large.

YearPBDTDepreciationPBTTax @ 40%PATAdd: depreciationCFAT
11,62,0001,20,00042,00016,80025,2001,20,0001,45,200
21,74,0001,20,00054,00021,60032,4001,20,0001,52,400
31,80,0001,20,00060,00024,00036,0001,20,0001,56,000
42,22,0001,20,0001,02,00040,80061,2001,20,0001,81,200
52,64,0001,20,0001,44,00057,60086,4001,20,0002,06,400

Discounted cash flows at 12%

YearCFATPVF @ 12%PVCumulative PV
11,45,2000.8931,29,663.601,29,663.60
21,52,4000.7971,21,462.802,51,126.40
31,56,0000.7121,11,0723,62,198.40
41,81,2000.6361,15,243.204,77,441.60
52,06,4000.5671,17,028.805,94,470.40

(i) Discounted payback period. The simple payback ignores the time value of money; to correct this, the cash inflows are discounted at the required rate of return and the payback is read from their cumulative present values. Here the cumulative PV at the end of year 5 is ₹5,94,470.40, still ₹5,529.60 short of the ₹6,00,000 cost: the project does not pay back on a discounted basis within its 5-year life.

(ii) Profitability index = PV of inflows ÷ outlay = 5,94,470.40 ÷ 6,00,000 = 0.9908.

Conclusion. PI is below 1 (NPV −₹5,529.60), consistent with the missing discounted payback: at a 12% cost of capital the project should be rejected.

Where the 8 marks sit

#ComponentMarks
1Cash flows after tax3
2Discounted cash flows and discounted payback3
3Profitability index and conclusion2
Total8
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